Methods, failures and unknowns are first-class evidence.
SIMULATED DATA
METHOD LEDGER · V0.1.1
Evidence before performance claims.
Confirmed means a predefined outcome condition was observed within its fixed evaluation window. It does not mean profitable, executable or financially advised.
62SIGNAL OBSERVATIONS
18INVALIDATED RETAINED
02FAILED RISK EVENTS
LEDGER RECORDS07Complete demo register
COMPLETED02VERIFIED + PASS
OPEN / UNKNOWN03Never counted as pass
ADVERSE / BLOCKED02Retained without exclusion
07 / 07 ledger records
FAILED, UNKNOWN, BLOCKED and NOT RUN remain visible in the complete ledger and are never converted to PASS.
Swipe horizontally to inspect every ledger field →
VERIFICATION AREASTATUSRESULTMETHODDATA STATE
Signal Evaluation MethodVERIFIED62 simulated observationsFixed 4H / 1D evaluation windowsSIMULATED
Strategy Method DesignPROPOSEDSIMULATED interface demonstrationHistorical replay / paper observation designNOT RUN
Risk EventsFAILED2 simulated threshold breachesShown without exclusionSIMULATED
Internal Model Update 0.1.4DEFERREDReview requiredNo production promotionNOT RUN
External DataBLOCKEDNot connectedDemo dataset onlyNOT RUN
Signal Evaluation Method
STATUS
VERIFIED
RESULT
62 simulated observations
METHOD
Fixed 4H / 1D evaluation windows
DATA STATE
SIMULATED
Strategy Method Design
STATUS
PROPOSED
RESULT
SIMULATED interface demonstration
METHOD
Historical replay / paper observation design
DATA STATE
NOT RUN
Agent Accuracy
STATUS
UNKNOWN
RESULT
Calibration only
METHOD
Brier score design pending review
DATA STATE
SIMULATED
Invalidated Signals
STATUS
PASS
RESULT
18 retained
METHOD
No outcome selection
DATA STATE
SIMULATED
Risk Events
STATUS
FAILED
RESULT
2 simulated threshold breaches
METHOD
Shown without exclusion
DATA STATE
SIMULATED
Internal Model Update 0.1.4
STATUS
DEFERRED
RESULT
Review required
METHOD
No production promotion
DATA STATE
NOT RUN
External Data
STATUS
BLOCKED
RESULT
Not connected
METHOD
Demo dataset only
DATA STATE
NOT RUN
01 · FIXED CONDITION
Lock the rule before evaluation
1H signals use a 4-hour window; 4H signals use 24 hours; 1D signals use seven calendar days. Expired windows remain in the denominator.
Threshold
Predefined
Window
Fixed
02 · OBSERVED OUTCOME
Classify the complete outcome
Signal observations use the stated reference price and fixed horizon. Strategy charts are simulated scenarios; historical replay and paper observation remain method designs marked NOT RUN.
Signals
Confirmed / invalidated / expired
Strategy methods
SIMULATED · NOT RUN
03 · RETAIN FAILURES
Preserve the denominator
All displayed evidence is simulated or explicitly marked NOT RUN. Failed, blocked and unknown records remain visible and cannot be converted into successful outcomes.